“BADME UNDER SHAEBIA IS TPDM IN Addis Ababa MENELIK PALACE”
The TPDM emerging to the political scene and military gaining supported and sheltered by the Eritrean resources to destroy the Adwa and Axum power in Addis Ababa the two regions relationship is even more complicated and cannot be resolved by dialog since Issayas Afewerki unequivocally said he does not want to talk to Meles any time soon or at all in his life.
Let’s assume Amantu the mother of liar post is correct and Badme is under the hand of Shaebia right now and both regimes are quite to tell the world. The first thing comes to my mind is ARENA TIGRAY and MEDREK will not be silenced under any circumstances and we could have known it within the hours it happened. The Generals and cadres hard core of Woyane wills not silenced by any means and they could have told us immediately as it happened.
If Badme is under the Shaebia forces right now regardless of silence the problem will not be solved due to TPDM presence in Eritrea. Issayas said no negotiation with Meles and TPDM wants to kick out Meles and his followers from power that means Meles nightmare will not end by seeding Badme to Eritrea, TPDM will become even more powerful in Tigray as the Meles power and trust among Tigrayans diminishes. The choice for Meles regime is to go ahead and dismantle Shaebia and install his choice in Eritrea and the Meles group hold power for many years to come with the new Eritrean regime in power and either Eritrea will unite with Ethiopia or both will form a government and divide Ethiopia in the long run, that is depend how the Ethiopian situation on the ground.
If Issayas was to negotiate with Meles and disarm TPDM, Meles will not hesitate to give up Tigrayans land if the cadres and Tigray people allow him to do so. I trust Issayas as he said no negotiation with Meles means let TPDM take over Ethiopia and Issayas will stick with TPDM and if Badme is under the control of Eritreans and Meles does not react harshly, his fate will be determine very soon by the Tigrayans oppositions and grass roots and either he will be caught or flee the country very soon. The fall of Badme in the hand of Shaebia is the biggest victory to TPDM in Tigray. No Tigrayan will look back for Meles and his follower except to look forward to TPDM and all Tigryans will follow TPDM to restore orders.
Going forward Meles does not have any choice since the TPDM emergence to the scene of Ethiopian politics except to fight Shaebia and dismantle them and become the undisputed leader of Horn Africa or flee the country. Giving up Badme is not going to solve Meles problems any more. The solution for Meles is fighting Shaebia or flees the country. The Issayas political trap to Meles future is very clever and very far sighted if Shaebia can handle and over come in case all out war breaks. But the latest situation is one of them to go to hell and the remaining leader to become the undisputed King of King Horn Africa for a long time to come.
In the past years Meles was very hesitant to go after Shaebia because there was not real treat to his power despite OLF, ONLF and Al Shebab based in Asmara. However, today is totally different Meles cannot avoid or ignore TPDM; the more Meles waits the more TPDM gains militarily and politically in Tigray. Despite unwillingness to go after Shaebia, he will be forced to take very harsh measure to stop TPDM and the presence of Shaebia in Eritrea. Basically Shaebia is forcing Meles to make very decisive decision like either fight us or leave Ethiopia for good. We shall see what Meles choice will be in the near future.





